N°85 : Greetings for France 2018 – Cleavages that evolve

Posted on by A M

To read the French version of issue n° 85, click here

Greetings for France 2018 : What can France wish for its security in 2018? That the glimpse of reprieve spreads and that it can be sheltered from the destabilizing effects of the active scars of the empires of yesterday in Europe (Ukraine), the Levant (Arabo-Persian Gulf), in North Africa (Egypt, Libya, Sahel) but also technological and financial raids, all belligerents. Let it avoid the multiple strategic poachings that currently divide the planet and prohibit any form of global regulation. Let her remember by celebrating the bad peaces of 1918, to support a more pragmatic strategic way towards European integration and global governance.

Cleavages that evolve : The world faces a deep contradiction between its accelerated motion, for economic and technological reasons, and a deep desire for stability from the people across the world. This new division is altering and complicating the old political cleavage between right and left, which has long served to explain the course of the world. The clash between internal dynamics and external upheavals will explain many future events

Lorgnette : La Vigie is renewed

Photo crédit : Min Api Emke dessin

We wwish you a merry Christmas

JD and OK

N° 83 : Neo-Caledonian stake | Digital strategy | Lorgnette : Diplomacy and strategy

Posted on by A M

 

To reach the original issue in French, clic here

Neo-Caledonian stake : In a year, New Caledonia, French Asiatic territory, will have redefined the terms of reference of its sovereignty as provided by the Nouméa agreements (1998). It is possible that this political TRendez-vous will lead to an original form of independence delegating in return to France a part of its strategic responsibilities. This formula could serve as a basis for other statutory developments of the French overseas and to draw a new personality of a plural France on a world scale

Digital strategy : Far from the public fantasies around Artificial Intelligence, the armed forces are facing the fourth computer revolution, after that of the personal computer, its networking and social networks. The digital transformation is thus a new challenge that will be added to those of C4 and cyber. From the Internet of Things to Cloud Infrastructure, from Augmented Reality to Artificial Intelligence, here are so many strategic challenges that need to be tackled, from the technical, tactical, strategic or skills point of view: a new field of reflection opens up to us.

Lorgnette: Diplomacy and strategy

JDOK

Photo crédit :  Roger Le Guen on Visual hunt / CC BY-NC-SA

N° 82 : Non-aligned Europe | Strategic depth of the overseas | Germany in breakdown

Posted on by A M

Abstracts

Non-aligned Europe


Globalization is primarily economic and has allowed emerging countries to catch up with growth, without political convergence. Europe, built on free competition, is disarmed in the face of this new environment. However, it continues to take up the old institutional recipes (as evidenced by the recent PESCO) while NATO is hypnotized against the East. This strategic shift creates a non-aligned Europe. […]


Strategic Depth of Overseas

The French overseas territories are a heterogeneous inheritance whose valorization remains to be done in a strategic framework to reinforce the global vocation of France and to constitute a true necklace of ultramarine pearls allowing each one of them to be inserted more directly in the development of the new spaces of globalization. […]Link to the n° 82

Lorgnette : Germany in breakdown

JDOK

credit : dalbera on Visualhunt / CC BY

N° 81 (free) – 8 November 2017 : A French strategic review | Iraq : and now? | A light in Gaza

Posted on by A M

Abstracts

A French strategic review

In 2017 no white paper but a strategic review, dense, sober and quickly conducted in the continuity of the strategic work and assessment of 2013. We note its realism and the lucid report that it makes the strategic precariousness of France. One wonders about its European commitment and the desire to increase again the power of defense to preserve a strategic autonomy celebrated. It is to be regretted that the decisive choices regarding the armed forces model are returned to the work of the next procurement programming law next year.

Iraq : and now ?

After the defeat of the IS, what will become of Iraq? there are two options: to take advantage of the victory in this civil war to rebuild a state that includes the Kurds (which explains the recent steadfastness towards them in the city of Kirkuk), or to let go of the ethnic game and let the power to the Shiite majority, even to reproduce the Maliki government’s mistakes from 2011 to 2014 and to open the door to the break-up of the country. Baghdad must solve both the external equation and an internal crisis.
Lorgnette : A light in Gaza
JDOK