LV258: Complaint against X | The coveted Far North | Lorgnette: truce in Gaza

Posted on by A M

Letter from La Vigie dated 22 January 2025

Complaint against X

Some people are now advocating leaving X, formerly Twitter, the social network run by E. Musk. Over and above all the arguments, this project raises the question of the forum in which public and democratic debate should take place. We don’t always choose it. In the belief that they are resisting, some people are simply deserting it.

To read the article, click here

The coveted Far North

D. Trump has caused a stir with his jokes about the Panama Canal, Canada and Greenland. Even if the form is not very diplomatic, the substance is very interesting because it reaffirms the old Monroe doctrine and reminds Europeans that the Arctic zone needs their attention, at the risk of losing even more importance. It’s up to us to rise to the challenge!

To read the article, click here

Lorgnette: truce in Gaza

A ceasefire has finally been signed in Gaza, after months of negotiations. The bases were known and Tel Aviv only signed to please the new American president, D. Trump. The agreement provides for the exchange of hostages held by Hamas for the release of Palestinian prisoners held by Israel.

The Israeli government has already hinted that it will not respect the agreement for long. The government coalition is already on the rocks and it seems unlikely that the agreement will be respected to the end (33 hostages against 737 prisoners).

Above all, the agreement demonstrates Tel Aviv’s impasse, locked in a deadly conflict with no political prospects: no state in the region wants to take the Gaza Strip under its control, a reoccupation seems highly unlikely and Hamas remains in control. Tactical success has rarely led to strategic victory, especially when there is no political solution to offer. Unfortunately, the Gaza conflict is not over. The open-air prison will remain in place.

JOVPN

Subscribers: click directly on the links to read online or download the pdf issue (here), always with your login/password. New readers: subscribe (discovery subscription €22, annual subscription €85, orga. subscription €400 excl. tax): here, the different options.

Photo credit: Rita Willaert on VisualHunt.com

LV 223 (free) : What the war in Gaza tells us | Paper from Armenia | Lorgnette: the fall of Icarus

Posted on by A M

Letter from La Vigie, dated 1st November 2023

The Hamourabbi code (source)

What the war in Gaza (or Sukkot) tells us

To go beyond considerations on the ground about the war in Sukkot (Gaza), we will first try to determine the war aims of each side, before asking ourselves what this war says, a further stage in a re-primitivisation of the contemporary act of war.

To read the article, click here

Paper from Armenia

The theatres of war and the ways in which they are waged may change, but the invariants of strategy can be observed in all theatres, and there is a high price to pay for neglecting them, whatever the mode of action chosen. Armenia has bitterly rediscovered them because it did not respect them.

To read the article, click here

Lorgnette: the fall of Icarus

If you fly too close to the sun, you risk burning your wings and falling into the abyss…

This is what the various dignitaries of the Chinese Communist Party or officials of the State apparatus experience on a regular basis, and when they fall from grace for whatever reason – which is never made public – they are invariably accused of “acts of corruption” and stripped of their professional positions and social standing.

However, the Chinese regime has done particularly well this year, dismissing its foreign affairs and defence ministers one after the other and making them disappear both literally and figuratively (damnatio memoriae by removing all references to them from government websites). The first, Qin Gang, has been missing since 25 June, the second, Li Shangfu, since 29 August. They had been sworn in in March of the same year.

These ruthless purges, while reminiscent of Mao, have rarely been so close to Xi Jingping’s entourage, and are both Stalinist in their implacability and Orwellian in their radicalism.

Still, it’s good to live in the West.

Subscribers: click directly on the links to read online or download the pdf issue (here), always with your login/password. New readers: read the article by issue, by clicking on each article (€2.5), or subscribe (discovery subscription €17, annual subscription €70, orga. subscription €300 excl. tax): here, the different options.

JOVPN

 

LV 210: There is no magic weapon | Will the rear end hold ? | Lorgnette : Israeli-Palestinian peace process

Posted on by A M

Letter from La Vigie, dated 1st FEB 2023

There is no magic weapon

The recent decision by the Europeans and Americans to supply tanks to Ukraine was intended as a show of unity in favour of Kiev. The difficulties in achieving this, and the relief that resulted, show that the issue remains fragile. Above all, it is based on an illusion: that arms alone can change the course of the war, whether by their quality or their quantity. Beyond that, a concern is surreptitiously emerging: is it still about winning or is it now about not losing?

To read the article, click here

Will the rear end hold?

If the fortunes of the weapons mainly decide the fate of a war, it is essential to also worry about the rear: if the combatants develop a certain and indispensable self-sufficiency, this is the result of the efforts made by the rear. The war in Ukraine shows us, however, that the notion of the rear is not as simple as one might think, and that the rear can also have a certain geographical depth.

To read the article, click here

Lorgnette: Israeli-Palestinian peace process

Recent events in Palestine have once again put the Palestinian question at the heart of the news. While it is likely that everyone will do their best to ignore it, it is important to note that it is still there because no solution has been found. The Abraham Accords promoted by D. Trump explicitly ignored it, organising a peace between Israel and certain Arab countries while agreeing to ignore the Palestinian question. Without going back to the triggering element of this week’s incidents, let us observe that the lukewarmness of international reactions is justified by the assumption that there is a peace process that is taking its course. This is obviously false.

It should be remembered that this is not (despite the use by some of the word terrorism equated with jihadism) a religious issue but a question of national liberation – and therefore of the freedom of peoples to self-determination – and of the political control of a population and of territories by an occupier. This is the original objective of the peace process. That it is obviously not working means that there is no peace. But who draws the conclusions? The EU looks the other way, as it is so quick to agitate for values. It is a sign of its hypocrisy and thus loses its credit.

JOCVP

Subscribers: click directly on the links to read online or download the pdf issue (here), always with your login/password. New readers: read the article by issue, by clicking on each article (€2.5), or subscribe (discovery subscription €17, annual subscription €70, orga. subscription €300 excl. tax): here, the different options.

Photo credit: UNDP Ukraine on Visualhunt