Letter from La Vigie, dated 8 JAN 2025
2025: France bankrupt
The fire is smouldering in France after a dreadful year, despite the success of the Olympics and Notre-Dame: domestically, economically, internationally and in the French overseas departments and territories, the country’s situation is bad. So much so that the usual resignation is giving way to a diffuse and
and dangerous anger. We need to pull ourselves together.
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Race war 2.0 in the Baltic
The breakage of an electricity cable in the Baltic Sea between Finland and Estonia on Estonia on Christmas Day marks a new stage in the escalation between Russia and NATO. If it is confirmed that it was indeed ordered by Moscow, this aggression would be the first draft of a race war 2.0, adapted to the realities of the 21st century in terms of the law of armed conflict or the vulnerabilities of a globalised economy.
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Lorgnette: Introspective wishes
What can we wish for at the start of 2025 in terms of strategy?
Given France’s retreat within its borders and its shaky position position abroad, it seems appropriate to wish that the year 2025 to be used as an opportunity for national strategic introspection.
This forced withdrawal could be an opportunity for intense reflection that would evaluate the country’s strengths and weaknesses and, as a novelty, use this to clarify France’s ambitions. Only the superpowers can be influential in all regions of the world at the same time, but France is not one of them. It must therefore chose and know how and what to give up.
There is no shortage of resources for reflection, thanks to the many think-tanks and strategic cabinets capable of putting forward coherent options for restoring the country to its rightful place.
Then the task becomes more arduous: once the options have been chosen, they need to be implemented over the long term. Perhaps these are the most useful wishes of 2025: to find people who are ready to implement a national strategy.
JOVPN
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